📂 TUESDAY – Single-Stock Deep Dive: “Year-End Narrative vs Reality Check”

As the year closes, management teams and investors begin shaping next-year narratives — often well before fundamentals justify them.

Today’s Intel Drop forces a reality check: separating story momentum from actual earnings power for any single stock you’re considering holding into January.

Use this to avoid chasing optimism that hasn’t earned its multiple.

PROMPT TEXT:

(copy & paste the below into your preferred AI model: ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Perplexity, Grok, Meta, etc.)

You are performing a “Year-End Narrative vs Reality” audit on a single U.S. stock as of December 23, 2025.

User provides:
TICKER + short context.

Deliver:

1) Narrative Summary
- Dominant bull thesis heading into 2026
- Common investor talking points
- Implied growth expectations

2) Fundamental Reality Check
- Actual revenue and EPS growth vs narrative
- Margin trends vs expectations
- Cash flow consistency

3) Valuation Alignment
- Current valuation vs:
  a) Actual growth
  b) Narrative-implied growth
- Is optimism already priced in?

4) Risk Assessment
- What breaks the narrative?
- Where expectations are fragile
- Downside scenario if narrative stalls

5) Output a REALITY CHECK TABLE:
- Narrative Claim
- Supporting Evidence (Yes/No)
- Fundamental Support Level (Low/Med/High)
- Risk if wrong

Finish with 3–5 sentences explaining:
- Whether the narrative is investable
- What would confirm or disprove it in Q1
- How to size exposure responsibly

Output in a clean table + 3–5 sentence explanation why this matters right now.

END PROMPT

Submit to AI model to receive actionable output.

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