📂 TUESDAY – Single-Stock Deep Dive: “2026 Expectation Gap Audit”
As the calendar flips, stocks don’t move on what happened — they move on what’s expected next. The most profitable setups often come from identifying expectation gaps going into a new year.
Today’s Intel Drop audits a single stock to determine whether 2026 expectations are too high, too low, or mispriced.
Use this before committing capital to any “new year favorite.”
PROMPT TEXT:
(copy & paste the below into your preferred AI model: ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Perplexity, Grok, Meta, etc.)
You are performing a “2026 Expectation Gap Audit” on a single U.S. stock as of December 30, 2025. User provides: TICKER + brief context. Tasks: 1) Consensus Expectations for 2026 - Revenue growth expectations - EPS growth expectations - Margin assumptions - Key narrative drivers 2) Historical Delivery - How often the company met or beat expectations over the last 2 years - Magnitude of surprises - Management credibility 3) Valuation vs Expectations - Current multiple vs implied growth - What growth is already priced in - Sensitivity if growth undershoots 4) Expectation Gap Assessment - Expectations Too Low / Fair / Too High - Why 5) Build an EXPECTATION GAP TABLE: - Key Assumption - Consensus View - Historical Reality - Risk if Wrong Finish with 3–5 sentences explaining: - Whether this stock offers asymmetric upside or downside - What would close the expectation gap in Q1 - How to size exposure accordingly Output in a clean table + 3–5 sentence explanation why this matters right now.
END PROMPT
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